SOURCE: prnewswire
One-third of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds call for a “reset button” for WashingtonCAMBRIDGE, Mass., July 14, 2016 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — Among the most likely voters ages 18 to 29, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by nearly two to one and Libertarian Gary Johnson by three to one, finds a new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government. Among likely young voters, Clinton garners 45%, compared to 23% for Trump and 13% for Johnson. Nearly one in five (19%) remain undecided. The IOP’s newest poll results – its 30th release since 2000 – looks at young voters’ opinions before the 2016 National Conventions. A detailed report on the poll’s findings is available online http://bit.ly/HarvardIOPSummerPoll2016. Join the conversation on Twitter using #HarvardIOPPoll. “At the Harvard Institute of Politics, we think it’s important to the future of our country that political and civic leaders take seriously the voices of the Millennials, many of whom are leading now and will lead in the future. They will be responsible for creating the future of politics,” said Maggie Williams, Director of Harvard Institute of Politics. The KnowledgePanel® survey of 1,001 18- to 29- year-old U.S. citizens with a margin of error of +/– 3.5 percentage points (95% confidence level) conducted with the Government and Academic Research team of GfK for the IOP between June 21 and July 3 also finds: Sanders still holds favored status: While Clinton enjoys a significant lead over Trump among this age group, Bernie Sanders still holds the most favorable marks, with a favorable rating of 54% to 33% among all young voters (Net favorable: +21). Clinton’s favorable rating is 31% and her unfavorable is 60% (Net favorable: -21). Since the last IOP poll in April, Clinton’s favorable rating has decreased 6 points and her unfavorable rating has increased 7 points among young Americans. In contrast, Trump’s favorable and unfavorable rating is essentially unchanged since April, 18% of 18- to 29- year-olds rated him favorable, and 74% rate him unfavorable (Net favorable: -56). Clinton advantage over Trump slips in head-to-head match-up: In the April 2016 IOP Poll, Clinton held a 36-point lead among likely voters in a two-way race against Trump, 61% to 25% with 14% undecided. In July, that lead has dropped 10 points, as Clinton now polls at 54% compared to Trump, 28%, with 18% undecided. Trump voters more passionate: Overall, likely Trump voters show higher levels of strong enthusiasm in their support for the Republican candidate when compared to likely Clinton or Johnson voters. Among Trump supporters, 36% indicated that they were “very enthusiastic” and one-third (33%) reported that they were “somewhat enthusiastic.” As for likely Clinton voters, 21% indicate that they were “very enthusiastic” and 49% reported that they were “somewhat enthusiastic.” And for Johnson, the majority of likely voters indicated that they were either “not at all” or “not very” enthusiastic about his candidacy (60%), and only 40% reported that they were either “very enthusiastic” or “somewhat enthusiastic.” One-third call for “Washington reset:” When IOP polling asked young Americans about their views “related to the state of politics, government and Washington, DC today,” more than four in five called for significant change. One percent (1%) indicated that “things are great and we should not change a thing;” 17% believed “a few subtle changes may be in order;” 48% believed “significant reform is needed;” and 33% believed “we need to find a reset button and start again.” Trump and Johnson supporters were more than twice as likely to want to hit the “reset button” compared to Clinton supporters (41%: Trump; 34%: Johnson; 18%: Clinton). Those without a college degree were more likely than those currently enrolled in college or with a college degree to want to “start again” (41%: no degree; 20%: currently enrolled or with degree) If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Johnson |
Undecided |
|
|
Likely Voters |
45% |
23% |
13% |
19% |
|
All 18-29 |
34% |
17% |
15% |
33% |
|
Male |
31% |
20% |
18% |
30% |
|
Female |
37% |
14% |
11% |
37% |
|
White |
22% |
26% |
17% |
34% |
|
Black |
63% |
2% |
9% |
26% |
|
Hispanic |
46% |
5% |
14% |
33% |
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