Theo tin Quinnipiac University National Poll

Kết quả thăm dò dư luận của Quinnipiac University National Poll công bố vào ngày 8 tháng 10 năm 2019 cho biết Elizabeth Warren nhận được sự ủng hộ từ 29% cử tri trong Đảng Dân chủ và cử tri độc lập nghên về ủng hộ cho Đảng Dân chủ so với 26% ủng hộ Joe Biden

The October 8 national poll found voters remain divided on impeachment; Warren and Biden top Democratic primary field.
Tim Malloy, Polling Analyst (203) 645-8043
Doug Schwartz, Director (203) 582-5201
After another week with impeachment in the news, registered voters nationwide are still divided on impeaching and removing President Trump from office, with 45 percent saying he should be impeached and removed and 49 percent opposing the idea, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. This compares to last week’s poll, in which voters were evenly split on impeaching and removing the president 47 – 47 percent. In a poll released on September 25, before any major news about impeachment, voters were clearly against impeachment 37 – 57 percent.
While nearly half of voters do not currently back impeachment, a majority of voters do still approve 53 – 43 percent of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by the U.S. House of Representatives in order to determine whether or not to bring impeachment charges against the president. A week ago, voters approved of the inquiry 52 – 45 percent.
A bare majority of voters, 51 percent, say that this impeachment inquiry is a legitimate investigation, while 43 percent say it is a political witch hunt. Republicans say that the inquiry is a witch hunt 88 – 8 percent, while Democrats say it is a legitimate investigation 92 – 5 percent, with independents agreeing that the inquiry is legitimate 52 – 40 percent.
“Despite a week of blistering partisan exchanges, the sound and fury over whistle blowers and impeachment, the needle hardly moves,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. “The country remains closely divided on whether to impeach and remove President Trump from office, and his base remains granite solid.”
The topic of impeachment does seem to be on voters’ minds, as 61 percent say that they are paying a lot of attention to news about impeachment, and an additional 25 percent say they are paying some attention to the news about it. Only a combined 13 percent say that they are paying either only a little attention or none at all.
When asked in general terms, 48 percent of voters say that asking a foreign leader to investigate a political rival is a good enough reason to impeach a president and remove them from office, while 42 percent say that it is not a good enough reason for impeachment. Republicans think it is not a good enough reason 77 – 12 percent, while Democrats say that it is a good enough reason 87 – 9 percent. Independents are more evenly divided, with 46 percent saying it is a good enough reason for impeachment and 42 percent saying it is not.
Tim Malloy, Polling Analyst (203) 645-8043
Doug Schwartz, Director (203) 582-5201
A third of voters, 33 percent, say that they believe that President Trump asked foreign nations to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden in order to expose corruption. However, 48 percent of voters believe that Trump asked foreign nations to conduct such an investigation in order to hurt a political rival. Republicans say 68 – 9 percent that Trump asked for an investigation to expose corruption, Democrats say 85 – 7 percent that Trump asked in order to hurt a political rival, and independents agree with the Democrats 50 – 27 percent that Trump was looking to hurt a political rival instead of exposing corruption.
The Democratic Primary
With the next Democratic debate only a week away, Warren and Biden both keep their top of the pack positions in the Democratic primary, with Warren receiving support from 29 percent of Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic and Biden getting 26 percent support. Sanders seems to be the only other candidate left in the mix with the two frontrunners, receiving 16 percent of the vote. No other candidate tops 4 percent.
“Warren maintains her strength in the Democratic primary, which has been consistently growing since the start of her campaign. This poll confirms her status as a co-frontrunner with Biden,” added Malloy.
This compares to a September 25 Quinnipiac University poll, in which Warren received 27 percent, Biden got 25 percent, and Sanders had 16 percent.
President Trump and the 2020 Election
Today, President Trump’s job approval is nearly identical to a week ago – today, it is a negative 40 – 54 percent approval rating. Last week, his approval rating was a negative 41 – 53 percent. Looking ahead to the 2020 presidential election, he receives similar levels of support as his approval rating against top Democratic contenders:
• Biden beats Trump 51 – 40 percent, compared to 54 – 38 percent on August 28;
• Sanders tops Trump 49 – 42 percent, compared to 53 – 39 percent on August 28;
• Warren wins against Trump 49 – 41 percent, compared to 52 – 40 percent on August 28.
From October 4 – 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,483 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 646 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
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