Theo tin Quinnipiac University National Poll
Quinnipiac University National Poll công bố Kết quả thăm dò dư luận 1 ngày trước cuộc tranh luận giữa các ứng cử viên Đảng Dân chủ bầu cử sơ bộ Tổng thống 2020 vào ngày 15 tháng 10 năm 2019 cho thấy Warren nhận được sự ủng hộ từ 30% so với Biden 27% & Sanders 11% cử tri trong Đảng Dân chủ và cử tri độc lập nghên về ủng hộ cho Đảng Dân chủ
The October 14 national poll found Warren 30%, Biden 27%, Sanders 11% in Democratic primary; opinion on impeachment, Trump approval barely budge.
Tim Malloy, Polling Analyst (203) 645-8043
Doug Schwartz, Director (203) 582-5201
FOR RELEASE: OCTOBER 14, 2019
WARREN 30%, BIDEN 27%, SANDERS 11% IN DEM PRIMARY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; OPINION ON IMPEACHMENT, TRUMP APPROVAL BARELY BUDGE
One day before the next Democratic debate, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden remain locked in a close race for the top spot in the Democratic primary, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pea-ack) University national poll released today. Warren receives 30 percent of the vote among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic, while Biden gets 27 percent. Sen. Bernie Sanders trails the two frontrunners, getting 11 percent support, with South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 8 percent and Sen. Kamala Harris at 4 percent. No other candidate tops 2 percent.
This compares to an October 8 poll from Quinnipiac University, in which Warren received 29 percent, Biden got 26 percent, and Sanders had 16 percent of the vote.
“For Senator Warren, the third straight time essentially tied at the top is the charm,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. “Her candidacy clearly has staying power going into the debate.”
Today, Warren has virtually caught Biden on which candidate Democratic and Democratic leaning voters say would be the best leader. Biden receives 32 percent on this question, with Warren at 28 percent. No other candidate gets into double digits. This compares to an August 6 poll, in which Biden had 33 percent and Warren had 22 percent.
Warren extends her clear lead on which candidate these voters say has the best policy ideas with 40 percent support. Biden receives 16 percent on this question, with Sanders at 12 percent. No other candidate gets into double digits. In the August 6 poll, Warren had 32 percent, Biden got 17 percent, and Sanders had 16 percent.
However, on the question of electability – which candidate has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump – Biden retains his commanding lead with 48 percent saying he has the best chance, compared to 49 percent in August. While still trailing Biden, Warren has increased her support from 9 percent in August to 21 percent today. No other candidate gets into double digits.
Among all registered voters, Joe Biden’s favorability rating is mixed, with 41 percent saying favorable and 43 percent saying unfavorable. Elizabeth Warren receives a similar mixed rating, with 36 percent saying favorable and 39 percent saying unfavorable, while Bernie Sanders finds himself underwater, with 39 percent
favorable and 47 percent unfavorable. Donald Trump gets the worst net favorability rating among registered voters, with 39 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable.
President Trump and Congress
Today, 41 percent of registered voters approve of the job President Trump is doing, while 54 percent disapprove. This compares to a negative 40 – 54 percent approval in an October 8 poll. Democrats in Congress are also negatively viewed by registered voters as only 35 percent approve of the job they are doing, while 58 percent disapprove. Republicans in Congress are viewed even more negatively as only 28 percent approve of the job they are doing, while 64 percent disapprove.
“The President is mired at 41 percent but no worse for the wear after another week of frenzied impeachment talk,” added Malloy.
When it comes to how he is handling the economy, President Trump does better, receiving a mixed 49 – 46 percent approval rating. Asking voters about how he is handling foreign policy, however, brings him back into negative territory, with a 57 – 37 percent disapproval.
Voters remain split on whether President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, with 46 percent saying he should be impeached and removed and 48 percent saying he should not be impeached and removed. In an October 8 Quinnipiac University poll, 45 percent of voters said that Trump should be impeached and removed, while 49 percent said he should not be impeached and removed.
While voters are split on impeaching and removing the president, a slim majority approve of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by the U.S. House of Representatives, 51 – 45 percent, compared to a 53 – 43 percent approval last week. Today, 51 percent say that the inquiry is a legitimate investigation, while 43 percent say it is a political witch hunt. A stronger majority, 59 percent, disapprove of the way President Trump is responding to the impeachment inquiry, and 32 percent approve of the way he’s responding.
Two thirds of voters, 66 percent, say that it is not acceptable for the President of the United States to ask a foreign leader to investigate a political rival, while 24 percent say it is acceptable. Republicans say this is acceptable 53 – 34 percent, Democrats say it is not acceptable 95 – 3 percent, and independents say 69 – 21 percent that it is not acceptable.
Despite most voters feeling that this behavior is unacceptable, only 44 percent say that asking a foreign leader to investigate a political rival is a good enough reason to impeach a president and remove them from office, while 47 percent say it is not a good enough reason.
From October 11 – 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,195 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, including the design effect.
The survey includes 505 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 5.3 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
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